Tuesday MLB Player Prop Bets & Picks: Totals for Ozzie Albies, Luis Patiño & Wily Peralta (August 3)
It’s rough to pay the juice here, but 6.5 is too high a number for Patiño. For two reasons:
First, because Patiño is coming off a six-inning shutout start against the Yankees where he punched out eight. So his stock is high right now.
Second, because the Mariners strike out a lot. Seattle’s struck out 24.4% of the time over the past 30 days, fourth-most in MLB.
Therefore, the prop market for Patiño was going to be high, and this is too high. Before his last outing, Patiño had struck out more than five batters in just one of his eight starts. He does average more than 10 Ks per nine innings, but he rarely pitches deep into games.